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Thursday 2026-12-24 · 20:15
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia US
❓ Unknown
Spread 2.5
O/U 38.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
- Jalen Hurts (PHI): +0.097 EPA/dropback in prior starts
Predicted Final Score
HOU
22
–
PHI
25
Projected margin: PHI by 3
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 16
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.