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New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
@
NYJ Home

New York Jets

HC Aaron Glenn
Sunday 2026-12-27 · 13:00 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

NE
74.1%
NYJ
25.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • QB edge to NE: Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.200 vs Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 EPA/dropback
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

NE 29
NYJ 17
Projected margin: NE by 12 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 16

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.