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Thursday 2026-12-31 · 20:15 ET
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- CIN offense: +0.007 EPA/play over its last 8 games (15th in the league)
- Joe Burrow (CIN): +0.155 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- BAL defense: -0.040 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
BAL
23
16–30
–
CIN
25
18–32
Projected margin: CIN by 2
Projected total: 48
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 17
BAL
No players on the report.
CIN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
