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DET Away

Detroit Lions

3-2 HC Dan Campbell
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 16:25 ET Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

DET
45.3%
CHI
54.7%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • QB edge to DET: Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 vs Jared Goff (DET) +0.224 EPA/dropback
  • CHI on 3 more days rest than DET
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DET 24 17–31
–
CHI 26 19–33
Projected margin: CHI by 2 Projected total: 50

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

DET

No players on the report.

CHI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.