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Kansas City Chiefs

5-0 HC Andy Reid
@
LAC Home

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 HC Jim Harbaugh
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

KC
47.2%
LAC
52.8%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • Justin Herbert (LAC): -0.130 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised

Predicted Final Score

KC 21 14–28
–
LAC 23 16–30
Projected margin: LAC by 2 Projected total: 44

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

KC

No players on the report.

LAC

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.