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Los Angeles Rams

2-4 HC Sean McVay
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TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1-5 HC Todd Bowles
Sunday 2027-01-03 · 13:00 ET Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

LA
66.6%
TB
33.4%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
  • QB edge to LA: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.119 vs Matthew Stafford (LA) +0.177 EPA/dropback
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • TB offense: -0.020 EPA/play over its last 8 games (21st in the league)

Predicted Final Score

LA 29 22–36
–
TB 20 13–27
Projected margin: LA by 9 Projected total: 49

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 17

LA

No players on the report.

TB

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 17 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.