← Home
Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.200 EPA/dropback
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
16
–
BUF
31
Projected margin: BUF by 15
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 18
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.