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PIT Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
@
BAL Home

Baltimore Ravens

4-2 HC Jesse Minter
Sunday 2027-01-10 · 13:00 ET M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

PIT
34.1%
BAL
65.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • Aaron Rodgers (PIT): -0.055 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BAL on 3 more days rest than PIT
  • Lamar Jackson (BAL): +0.069 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

PIT 21 14–28
–
BAL 24 17–31
Projected margin: BAL by 3 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 18

PIT

No players on the report.

BAL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 18 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.