Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 6 at the 76

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(13:42) (Punt formation) 19-B.Anger punts 46 yards to CAR 30, Center-46-C.Tinker, fair catch by 19-T.Ginn.

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +2.02 EP
57% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model