4TH&DATA
EN ES
Back to Game

Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 3 at the 63

New York Giants 3 – Dallas Cowboys 6

What Actually Happened

(3:02) (Punt formation) 9-B.Wing punts 50 yards to DAL 13, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley.

The Three Options

GO -0.72 EP
Model's Pick
  • 53% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.77 EP
  • 47% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 63, worth -3.52 EP
KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

PUNT -0.76 EP
What Happened
  • Dallas Cowboys would take over around their own 21, worth -0.76 EP

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model