Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 8 at the 79

Washington Commanders 10 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(12:33) 5-T.Way punts 43 yards to LA 36, Center-57-N.Sundberg, downed by WAS-57-N.Sundberg.

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.53 EP
63% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 79, worth -4.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model