Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 74

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Washington Commanders 0

(8:31) 6-J.Hekker punts 46 yards to WAS 28, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 80-J.Crowder.

The Three Options

GO -2.65 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.52 EP
68% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 74, worth -4.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model