Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 6 at the 66

New Orleans Saints 10 – Carolina Panthers 7

(2:14) 6-T.Morstead punts 47 yards to CAR 19, Center-47-J.Drescher, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.64 EP
61% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model