Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 15 at the 60

New Orleans Saints 7 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(7:38) 6-T.Morstead punts 43 yards to DAL 17, Center-47-J.Drescher, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley.

The Three Options

GO -1.48 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +3.04 EP
72% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 60, worth -3.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model