Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 7 at the 73

Baltimore Ravens 14 – Cleveland Browns 3

(6:54) 4-S.Koch punts 34 yards to CLE 39, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.98 EP
60% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 73, worth -4.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model