Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 56

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Cleveland Browns 3

(9:15) 6-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to CLE 9, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 11-T.Benjamin.

The Three Options

GO -1.31 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +3.26 EP
75% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 56, worth -2.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model