4TH&DATA
EN ES
Back to Game

Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 5 at the 61

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

What Actually Happened

(13:25) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 41 yards to PHI 20, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 43-D.Sproles.

The Three Options

GO -0.88 EP
  • 42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.31 EP
  • 58% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 61, worth -3.23 EP
KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

PUNT -0.72 EP
What Happened Model's Pick
  • Philadelphia Eagles would take over around their own 20, worth -0.72 EP

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model