Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 14 at the 60

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 7

(11:24) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 55 yards to PHI 5, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.05 EP
73% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 60, worth -3.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model