Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Washington Commanders 4th & 17 at the 70

Washington Commanders 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(7:20) 5-T.Way punts 35 yards to DAL 35, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.06 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.91 EP
74% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 70, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model