Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 9 at the 80

Pittsburgh Steelers 23 – Cincinnati Bengals 10

(8:13) 4-J.Berry punts 53 yards to CIN 27, Center-60-G.Warren, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.53 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.20 EP
63% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 80, worth -4.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model