Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 54

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(9:04) 6-J.Hekker punts 35 yards to SEA 19, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 17-K.Smith.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.54 EP
64% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 54, worth -2.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model