Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 91

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Denver Broncos 7

(7:04) 5-M.Scifres punts 56 yards to DEN 35, Center-47-M.Windt, downed by LAC-83-J.Phillips.

The Three Options

GO -3.13 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 85, worth +0.03 EP
57% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 91, worth -5.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model