Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 5 at the 62

Cleveland Browns 3 – Miami Dolphins 7

(8:17) (Punt formation) 4-B.Colquitt punts 48 yards to MIA 14, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.20 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.99 EP
57% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 62, worth -3.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model