Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 19 at the 69

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 – Carolina Panthers 14

(13:22) 9-B.Anger punts 51 yards to CAR 18, Center-48-A.DePaola, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.32 EP

23% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.66 EP
77% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 69, worth -3.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model