Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 14 at the 68

Philadelphia Eagles 8 – Minnesota Vikings 3

(5:46) 8-D.Jones punts 44 yards to MIN 24, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, fair catch by 35-M.Sherels.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.59 EP
73% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 68, worth -3.73 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model