Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 11 at the 90

Los Angeles Rams 10 – New York Giants 10

(1:33) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 60 yards to NYG 30, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 17-D.Harris to NYG 39 for 9 yards (54-B.Hager).

The Three Options

GO -2.79 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 79, worth +1.04 EP
65% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 90, worth -4.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (107 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model