Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 58

New York Giants 10 – Los Angeles Rams 10

(:49) (Punt formation) 9-B.Wing punts 47 yards to LA 11, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 11-T.Austin to LA 23 for 12 yards (26-O.Darkwa).

The Three Options

GO -1.04 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +1.95 EP
63% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 58, worth -2.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model