Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 4 at the 69

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(13:54) 9-J.Ryan punts 46 yards to PHI 23, Center-48-N.Frese, fair catch by 43-D.Sproles.

The Three Options

GO -0.86 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.30 EP
52% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 69, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model