Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 11 at the 62

Philadelphia Eagles 7 – Seattle Seahawks 13

(5:38) 8-D.Jones punts 39 yards to SEA 23, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.48 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 62, worth -3.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model