Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 10 at the 55

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(11:58) 8-D.Jones punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.42 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.76 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 55, worth -3.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model