Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 6 at the 62

Kansas City Chiefs 0 – Denver Broncos 0

(11:27) 2-D.Colquitt punts 49 yards to DEN 13, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 11-J.Norwood.

The Three Options

GO -1.42 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.01 EP
60% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 62, worth -3.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model