Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 11 at the 76

Seattle Seahawks 30 – Carolina Panthers 7

(6:22) 9-J.Ryan punts 41 yards to CAR 35, Center-48-N.Frese, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.37 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.51 EP
66% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model