Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 19 at the 78

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(6:54) 6-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to SEA 28, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -2.97 EP

23% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.06 EP
77% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 78, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (95 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model