Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 11 at the 66

Arizona Cardinals 7 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(14:29) 6-M.Wile punts 42 yards to SEA 24, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -2.08 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.75 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 66, worth -3.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model