Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 9 at the 76

Philadelphia Eagles 10 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(12:48) 8-D.Jones punts 47 yards to DAL 29, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.10 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.82 EP
64% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 76, worth -4.31 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model