Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 12 at the 58

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Cleveland Browns 7

(13:06) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 45 yards to CLE 13, Center-57-K.Canaday. 22-J.Peppers pushed ob at CLE 22 for 9 yards (90-T.Watt).

The Three Options

GO -1.29 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +2.76 EP
67% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 58, worth -3.27 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model