Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 71

Seattle Seahawks 6 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(9:58) 9-J.Ryan punts 57 yards to SF 14, Center-69-T.Ott. 81-T.Taylor to SF 35 for 21 yards (30-B.McDougald).

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +2.05 EP
61% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 71, worth -3.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model