Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 18 at the 68

Kansas City Chiefs 14 – Los Angeles Chargers 7

(12:23) 2-D.Colquitt punts 63 yards to LAC 5, Center-41-J.Winchester. 12-T.Benjamin ran ob at LAC 14 for 9 yards.

The Three Options

GO -2.19 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.60 EP
73% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 68, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model