Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 64

Pittsburgh Steelers 12 – Kansas City Chiefs 3

(10:01) 4-J.Berry punts 39 yards to KC 25, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.26 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.12 EP
58% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 64, worth -3.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model