Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 4 at the 60

Minnesota Vikings 30 – Cleveland Browns 16

(4:54) (Punt formation) 4-R.Quigley punts 44 yards to CLE 16, Center-47-K.McDermott, fair catch by 11-B.Treggs.

The Three Options

GO -0.63 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +1.77 EP
52% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 60, worth -2.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model