Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 7 at the 91

Baltimore Ravens 6 – Tennessee Titans 10

(5:37) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch punts 17 yards to BAL 26, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.12 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 84, worth +0.29 EP
61% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 91, worth -5.31 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model