Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 10 at the 80

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Jacksonville Jaguars 6

(6:28) 8-D.Kaser punts 52 yards to JAX 28, Center-47-M.Windt. 85-J.Mickens ran ob at JAX 28 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -2.65 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.29 EP
67% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 80, worth -4.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model