Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 17 at the 80

Las Vegas Raiders 7 – New York Giants 0

(5:32) 7-M.King punts 62 yards to NYG 18, Center-59-J.Condo. 83-K.Raymond to NYG 26 for 8 yards (84-C.Patterson).

The Three Options

GO -2.60 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +2.19 EP
73% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 80, worth -4.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model