Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 9 at the 70

Pittsburgh Steelers 20 – Baltimore Ravens 14

(12:20) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 45 yards to BAL 25, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 12-M.Campanaro.

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.25 EP
66% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 70, worth -3.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model