Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 8 at the 91

Cincinnati Bengals 7 – Chicago Bears 12

(:44) 10-K.Huber punts 49 yards to CHI 42, Center-46-C.Harris. 29-T.Cohen to CHI 48 for 6 yards (42-C.Fejedelem).

The Three Options

GO -2.85 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 83, worth +0.21 EP
61% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 91, worth -4.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model