Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 9 at the 69

Minnesota Vikings 7 – Carolina Panthers 14

(13:11) 4-R.Quigley punts 48 yards to CAR 21, Center-47-K.McDermott. 12-K.Clay to CAR 28 for 7 yards (81-B.Bell).

The Three Options

GO -1.90 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.85 EP
64% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 69, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model