Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 14 at the 57

Tennessee Titans 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(3:51) 6-B.Kern punts 35 yards to ARI 22, Center-48-B.Brinkley, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +2.85 EP
73% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 57, worth -3.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model