Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 66

New York Giants 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(13:57) 9-B.Wing punts 46 yards to ARI 20, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 21-P.Peterson.

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.83 EP
62% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 66, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model