Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 13 at the 74

Seattle Seahawks 14 – Arizona Cardinals 20

(7:24) 9-J.Ryan punts 28 yards to ARI 46, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.62 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.88 EP
72% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 74, worth -4.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model