Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 9 at the 74

Arizona Cardinals 23 – Seattle Seahawks 24

(9:34) 2-A.Lee punts 41 yards to SEA 33, Center-46-A.Brewer. 16-T.Lockett pushed ob at SEA 35 for 2 yards (28-J.Bethel).

The Three Options

GO -2.33 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.54 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 74, worth -4.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model